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George
Reisman's Blog on Economics, Politics, Society, and Culture
February
2008
This blog is a commentary on contemporary
business, politics, economics, society, and culture, based on the values of
Reason, Rational Self-Interest, and Laissez-Faire Capitalism. Its intellectual
foundations are Ayn Rand's philosophy of Objectivism and the theory of the
Austrian and British Classical schools of economics as expressed in the writings
of Mises, Böhm-Bawerk, Menger, Ricardo, Smith, James and John Stuart Mill,
Bastiat, and Hazlitt, and in my own writings.
The contents of the blog are
copyright © 2008 by George Reisman.
All rights reserved. Permission is hereby granted to reproduce and distribute
individual articles below electronically and/or in print, other than as part of
a book.
(Email notification is requested). All other
rights reserved.
George
Reisman, Ph.D., is the author of
Capitalism: A Treatise on Economics
(Ottawa, Illinois: Jameson Books, 1996) and is Pepperdine University
Professor Emeritus of Economics.
Note: A perfect replica
of
Capitalism can be downloaded and
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connection is recommended.) The file is fully searchable and the book's two
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The
Nature of Environmentalism
In my
previous post, “A
Word to Environmentalists,”
I wrote "the first step you need to take
is to stop using the same word
`environmentalist’ to describe both them
[advocates of mass destruction and
death] and you. So long as you do use
the same word, people cannot help but
think of you all in the same terms.”
In
reply, a respected colleague of mine at
the Mises Summer University, wrote the
following:
I'm not sure I buy that argument. It
seems to assume something like the
following premise: “If many of the
most prominent people who embrace
the label `X-ist’ have advocated bad
stuff, then one shouldn't call
oneself an `X-ist.'” But that
premise seems to have some odd
con-sequences, as follows:
Many of the most prominent people
who embrace the label "atheist”
(e.g. Stalin, Pol Pot) have
perpetrated great evil, so Ayn Rand
shouldn't have called herself an
atheist.
Many of the most prominent people
who embrace the label “liberal”
(e.g. Woodrow Wilson, FDR) have
perpetrated great evil, so Ludwig
von Mises shouldn't have called
himself a liberal.
Many of the most prominent people
who embrace the label “capitalist”
or '”free-marketer” (e.g. the GOP)
have perpetrated great evil, so
George Reisman shouldn't call
himself a capitalist or a
free-marketer.
Many of the most prominent people
who embrace the label "egoist” (e.g.
Max Stirner, Nikolai Chernyshevsky),
while not exactly perpetrators of
evil, have at any rate advocated
some pretty dubious stuff, so Ayn
Rand shouldn't have called herself
an egoist.
And so on.
I mean, why let the bad guys set the
meanings of all these terms?
I
have quoted my colleague not so much in
order to answer him in particular, but
because his response provides a good
starting point for providing a further
explanation of the profound and inherent
evil of environmentalism and why a
reasonable person should no more call
himself an environmentalist than he
would call himself a Communist or Nazi.
It should be realized first of all that
“environmentalism” is in a very
different category than the examples of
the advocacy of atheism, liberalism, et
al. by authors who also propound clearly
destructive ideas. This is because
atheism, liberalism et al. in
themselves do not represent a
philosophy or program that is evil on
its face or that necessarily implies
evil. (In this connection, it should be
recalled that Stalin and Pol Pot
committed their atrocities not in the
name of atheism, but in the name of
Communism.) In addition, in all of the
examples cited there are also prominent
supporters of the doctrines who go out
of their way to present theories and
programs that demonstrably promote human
life and well being. Thus both Ayn Rand
and Mises were atheists, liberals,
pro-capitalist and pro-free market, and
were egoists. Their writings serve as
far more than a counterweight to the
wrong or dubious ideas of other
supporters of these doctrines and,
indeed, make a compelling case for why
these doctrines themselves in fact serve
to promote human life and well being.
However, there are no counterparts to
Rand and Mises in the advocacy of
environmentalism. (Nor could there be.)
No one in environmentalism rises to
challenge the evils that its leaders and
spokesmen advocate or to show that
environmentalism is the opposite of what
they claim.
By way of contrast, consider the
following case. Imagine that someone
known as a prominent supporter of
Austrian economics wrote an article or
gave a speech in which he advocated the
enactment of wage and price controls or
the nationalization of industry. I think
that everyone affiliated with the Mises
Institute, certainly myself included,
would be all over this person and make
it as clear to the world as possible
that his views not only did not
represent those of Austrian economics
but were in complete and total
opposition to everything Austrian
economics stands for.
Now imagine that a prominent
environmentalist writes an article or
gives a speech in which he expresses the
wish for a virus to come along and wipe
out a billion people. What will be the
reaction of the environmental movement?
Will that individual be denounced for
misrepresenting the movement? Will the
rest of the movement’s leaders rush to
assure the world that that individual
was so far from representing
environmentalism that he actually
represented the diametric opposite of
its principles?
Not at all. There will be no negative
reaction of any kind from within the
movement, not even a raising of
eyebrows. I can say this with the utmost
confidence, because such statements
have already been made, and made
repeatedly. And there has been no
outrage, no negative response of any
kind from within the environmental
movement.
Here’s David M. Graber, in his
prominently featured Los Angeles
Times book review of Bill
McKibben’s The End of Nature:
“McKibben is a biocentrist, and so am I.
We are not interested in the utility of
a particular species or free-flowing
river, or ecosystem, to mankind. They
have intrinsic value, more value—to
me—than another human body, or a billion
of them.… It is cosmically unlikely that
the developed world will choose to end
its orgy of fossil-energy consumption,
and the Third World its suicidal
consumption of landscape. Until such
time as Homo sapiens should decide to
rejoin nature, some of us can only hope
for the right virus to come along.”
And here’s
Prince Philip of England
(who for sixteen years was president of
the World Wildlife Fund): “In the event
that I am reincarnated, I would like to
return as a deadly virus, in order to
contribute something to solve
overpopulation.” (A lengthy compilation
of such statements, and worse, by
prominent environmentalists can be found
at
Frightening Quotes from
Environmentalists.)
There is no negative reaction from the
environmental movement because what
such statements express is nothing other
than the actual philosophy of the
movement. This is what the movement
believes in. It’s what it
agrees with. It’s what it
desires. Environmentalists are no
more prepared to attack the advocacy of
mass destruction and death than Austrian
economists are prepared to attack the
advocacy of laissez-faire capitalism and
economic progress. Mass destruction and
death is the goal of environmentalists,
just as laissez-faire capitalism and
economic progress is the goal of
Austrian economists.
And this is why I call environmentalism
evil. It’s evil to the core. In the
environmental movement, contemplating
the mass death of people in general is
no more shocking than it was in the
Communist and Nazi movements to
contemplate the mass death of
capitalists or Jews in particular. All
three are philosophies of death. The
only difference is that environmentalism
aims at death on a much larger scale.
Despite still being far from possessing
full power in any country, the
environmentalists are already
responsible for approximately
96 million deaths from malaria
across the world. These deaths are the
result of the environmentalist-led ban
on the use of DDT, which could easily
have prevented them and, before its ban,
was on the verge of wiping out malaria.
The environmentalists brought about the
ban because they deemed the survival of
a species of vultures, to whom DDT was
apparently poisonous, more important
than the lives of millions of human
beings.
The deaths that have already been caused
by environmentalism approximate the
combined number of deaths caused by the
Nazis and Communists.
If and when the environmentalists take
full power, and begin imposing and then
progressively increasing the severity of
such things as carbon taxes and carbon
caps, in order to reach their goal of
reducing carbon dioxide emissions by 90
percent, the number of deaths that will
result will rise into the billions,
which is in accord with the movement’s
openly professed agenda of large-scale
depopulation. (The policy will have
little or no effect on global mean
temperatures, the reduction of which is
the rationalization for its adoption,
but it will have a great effect on the
size of human population.)
It is not at all accidental that
environmentalism is evil and that its
leading spokesmen hold or sanction ideas
that are indistinguishable from those of
sociopaths. Its evil springs from a
fundamental philosophical doctrine that
lies at the very core and deepest
foundations of the movement, a doctrine
that directly implies the movement’s
destructiveness and hatred of the human
race. This is the doctrine of the
alleged intrinsic value of nature,
i.e., that nature is valuable in and of
itself, apart from all connection to
human life and well being. This doctrine
is accepted by the movement without any
internal challenge, and, indeed, is the
very basis of environmentalism’s
existence.
As I wrote in
Capitalism, “The idea of
nature’s intrinsic value inexorably
implies a desire to destroy man and his
works because it implies a perception of
man as the systematic destroyer of
the good, and thus as the systematic
doer of evil. Just as man perceives
coyotes, wolves, and rattlesnakes as
evil because they regularly destroy the
cattle and sheep he values as sources of
food and clothing, so on the premise of
nature’s intrinsic value, the
environmentalists view man as evil,
because, in the pursuit of his
well-being, man systematically destroys
the wildlife, jungles, and rock
formations that the environmentalists
hold to be intrinsically valuable.
Indeed, from the perspective of such
alleged intrinsic values of nature, the
degree of man’s alleged destructiveness
and evil is directly in proportion to
his loyalty to his essential nature. Man
is the rational being. It is his
application of his reason in the form of
science, technology, and an industrial
civilization that enables him to act on
nature on the enormous scale on which he
now does. Thus, it is his possession and
use of reason—manifested in his
technology and industry—for which he is
hated.”
Thus these are the reasons that I think
it is necessary for people never to
describe themselves as
environmentalists, that to do is
comparable to describing oneself as a
Communist or Nazi. Doing so marks one as
a hater and enemy of the human race.
Whoever believes that it is possible to
be a “free-market environmentalist” is
guilty of a contradiction in terms. The
free market rests on a foundation of
human life and well-being as the
standard of value. Environmentalism
rests on a foundation of the non-human
as the standard of value. The two cannot
be reconciled. It’s either-or.
I know that these conclusions are
upsetting to many people. It’s got to be
upsetting to realize that one is
advocating destruction and death. But
fortunately, there’s a simple and
ultimately happy solution: just stop
doing it. Stop being an
environmentalist!
A Word
to Environmentalists
The
“extremists” among you openly call for
the death of 1 to 6.4 billion human
beings. The “moderates” among you openly
call for the forced reduction in carbon
dioxide emissions of 90 percent within a
few decades, which would serve to reduce
energy use almost to the same extent.
Such a severe reduction in energy use
follows from the fact that there are no
presently existing large-scale viable
alternatives to fossil fuels other than
atomic power, which is regarded by most
members of your movement as a death ray
and is opposed more vehemently than
fossil fuels. Furthermore, the
likelihood of ever finding and
developing such alternatives will be
greatly reduced by destroying the energy
sources we do have and need to increase.
So what your movement advocates is mass
death or, at the very least, dreadful
mass impoverishment whose outcome will
be tens or hundreds of millions of
unnecessary deaths and a life of misery
for those who survive.
If your motivation in calling yourself
an environmentalist is merely such
things as that you like to see flowers
bloom on open meadows, and love trees,
whales, and polar bears, and the like,
then you owe it to yourself to put as
much intellectual and moral distance as
possible between you and those who
advocate mass impoverishment and mass
death.
The first step you need to take is to
stop using the same word
“environmentalist” to describe both them
and you. So long as you do use the same
word, people cannot help but think of
you all in the same terms.
Don’t think you can solve the problem by
calling yourself a “free-market
environmentalist.” That’s like calling
yourself a “free-market Communist” or a
“free-market Nazi.” They’re
contradictions in terms.
The free market exists to promote
prosperity and human life, and that is
what it has accomplished, splendidly,
with breathtaking brilliance. In the
industrialized world, the average person
today enjoys a standard of living
superior to that of kings and emperors
of the past. The whole world’s
population is capable of enjoying the
same marvelous results, if it adopts
economic freedom. But if you call
yourself an “environmentalist,” you mark
yourself as sharing the goals of mass
destruction and death. A socialist
dictatorship is the vehicle for
achieving those goals, not a free
market.
It is true that many American
businessmen, some of them extremely
talented and successful, now call
themselves “environmentalists” and are
stumbling over themselves in a race to
prove how “green” they are. In the early
1930s, many talented and successful
German businessmen did essentially the
same thing when they began to call
themselves “Nazis” and raced to prove
their devotion to National Socialism.
It’s possible for people to be geniuses
in one area of their lives and fools, or
worse, in other areas. In any event, the
outcome for the German businessmen, and
for all other talented individuals who
joined either the Nazis or the
Communists, was that they ended up as
accomplices of mass murderers. The same
will be true in the United States, if
the environmentalists succeed in
imposing their agenda.
If you care about your moral character,
don’t place an indelible stain on it by
supporting a movement that seeks to
destroy Industrial Civilization and all
the human lives and human well-being
that depend on it. Accept moral
responsibility for the ideas you
propound and stop standing in the
service of mass destruction and death.
Do not come back with the argument that
if we uphold individual freedom, our
great grandchildren will have to live in
an uninhabitable planet, one that is
either too hot or too cold. Sooner or
later Nature itself will make the
climate considerably warmer or
considerably colder than it is today
(most likely colder). The only
significant question is what is the best
method of coping with such change? Is it
the free market or a centrally planned
dictatorship that reaches down into
every detail of everyone’s personal life
and productive activities, that, indeed,
wants to control the carbon content
practically of every breath that anyone
draws?
Even if you are absolutely convinced
that human activities are responsible
for global warming and, if nothing is
done, will ultimately result in an
intolerable rise in temperature, there
is a very simple test that you need to
apply. Pretend, for just a moment, that
that same global warming is coming about
independently of human activities, that
it is strictly the product of natural
forces. Then ask yourself, what would be
the best fundamental method of coping
with it? Maintaining a free market or
establishing a centrally planned
socialist system?
More fundamentally, what is the
appropriate method for Man to use in
dealing with Nature in general? Is it
the motivated and coordinated human
intelligence of all individual market
participants that is provided by a free
market and its price system? Or is it
the unmotivated, discoordinated chaos in
which one man, the Supreme Dictator, or
a handful of men, the Supreme Dictator
and his fellow members of the Central
Planning Board, claim a monopoly on
human intelligence and on the right to
make fundamental decisions?
Suppose even that the warming caused by
Nature were such that what was required
to deal with it was some sort of space
program, perhaps emitting thousands of
tiny mirrors that would prevent some
sunlight from reaching the earth by
reflecting it back into space. Suppose
further that as a practical matter,
given our present state of social
organization, the only realistic means
of carrying out such a program was
through governmental action—a kind of
public works project, as it were. In
which circumstances, would such a
program be more likely to be feasible:
in those of the primitive economies
characteristic of third world countries
or in those of advanced industrial
economies? And would they not be more
likely to be feasible in an economy
substantially more advanced than our own
is at present?
The answer to the question of how best
to cope with intolerable global warming
caused by Nature is obviously the
maintenance of the free market, not its
replacement by Socialist central
planning. Indeed, the answer is to make
the free market freer than it now is—as
much freer as is humanly possible. This
is because while the primary reason for
advocating a free market is the greater
prosperity and enjoyment it brings to
everyone in the course of his normal,
everyday life, a major, secondary reason
is to have the greatest possible
industrial base available for coping
with catastrophic events, whether those
events be war, plague, meteors from
outer space, intolerable global warming,
or a new ice age.
In effect, what the environmentalists
would have us do as the means of
preparing for coping with a coming
global warming is analogous to the
imaginary absurdity of the United States
in the 1930s having reduced its economy
to the level, say, of Poland’s economy.
Then, when World War II came, our
country would have had to fight the war
with horses instead of tanks and planes.
In the same way, the environmentalists
would have us cope with global warming
by waving little fans instead of using
air conditioners, refrigerators, and
freezers.
Now what, if anything, changes if we
assume that global warming is an
unintended by-product of the human
productive activities that make life
possible and enjoyable? How does it
possibly follow from this that the only
means of stopping this
much-less-than-certain outcome is by
suffering the absolutely certain
impoverishment and death that will come
from the destruction of most of our
present sources of energy?
Is there absolutely no other way to deal
with global warming than the destruction
of our economic system? Is that how we
would deal with it if global warming
were the product of Nature, and not the
by-product of our activities? Would the
environmentalists then ask us to engage
in what in the circumstances would be a
merely ritual sacrifice incapable of
accomplishing anything beyond itself?
If they would not do that, then they
would have to look for other
alternatives as the means of coping with
global warming. Why aren’t they
looking for those other alternatives
now? Why on earth should the first
and only solution for global warming as
a by-product of human activity be the
scuttling of our energy base? Do we
deserve to be exterminated for our
unintended by-products? Must we really
choose to live in poverty and misery,
surrounded by death, in order to avoid
excessive heat? Can absolutely no other
way be found? (The likely answer is
actually no more complicated than having
the greater energy base required to
build and power bigger and better air
conditioners.)
Do you environmentalists who do not want
to think of yourselves as misanthropes,
as recycled Communists or Nazis, do you
really want to entrust your lives and
material well being, and the lives and
material well being of everyone who may
matter to you, to the power of
government officials to tax carbon
emissions and to limit the total of such
emissions? Are you willing to entrust
this power to today’s President (who at
least has the good sense not to want
it)? Do you want to entrust it to any of
the candidates with a realistic chance
to succeed him (who do want this power
and may even crave it)? Do you want to
entrust it to the members of the United
States Congress? To the members of the
United Nations General Assembly?
Do you want them to decide how much
man-made energy is to be available to
you in every aspect or your life, by
their imposing carbon taxes and carbon
caps? These will be taxes and
constraints on you that are tantamount
to adding extra dead weight to your body
and to restricting your power to move
your own limbs. And they will go on
increasing in severity, to the point
that you, or your children or
grandchildren, will drop from
exhaustion. For the effect of every loss
of energy use is a corresponding
imposition on the meager power of human
muscles and the human frame. And if the
impositions cannot be borne, the
products that depended on the lost
energy use can no longer be produced. If
the environmentalist agenda is imposed,
the day will come when your descendants,
if they have any awareness of it at all,
will look back on our time as a mythical
Golden Age never to be achieved again.
Is that what you want?
It’s not too late for you to change your
mind, abandon any support you may have
been giving to environmentalism’s
program of impoverishment and death, and
come over to the side of the values of
human life, wealth, and happiness—the
values Mises fought for under the banner
of genuine Liberalism.
ENVIRONMENTALISM IS RECYCLED COMMUNISM AND
NAZISM
Here's the essential common core of
hatred and destruction in the
doctrines of Communism, Nazism, and
Environmentalism. Only the concretes
differ, not the fundamental
principle of hatred for human life
and happiness.
Communism:
The pursuit of individual
self-interest causes monopolies,
depressions, and exploitation of
workers by capitalists. It must be
replaced by self-sacrifice for the
benefit of the working class and the
Socialist State. Capitalists and
landowners must be exterminated for
the benefit of the proletariat.

Nazism: The
pursuit of individual self-interest
causes racial impurity, national
decline, and exploitation of German
workers by Jewish capitalists. It must
be replaced by self-sacrifice for the
good of the Aryan master race and the
National Socialist State. Jews, Gypsies,
and Slavs must be exterminated for the
benefit of the German Nation.
Environmentalism:
The pursuit of individual
self-interest causes global warming,
acid rain, and ozone depletion. It
must be replaced by self-sacrifice
for the good of other species—our
"fellow biota"—and for the good of
the planet, under the auspices of
international treaties and a nascent
Global Socialist State: the UN. Most
of the human race must be
exterminated for the benefit of
exploited species and the planet.
(This is what the environmentalist
“extremists” already openly say. The
“moderates” merely want to reduce
carbon dioxide emissions by 90
percent and thereby reduce the
American standard of living to that
of a third world country, with a
third world country’s infant
mortality and life expectancy.)
SAY NO TO RECYCLED COMMUNISM AND
NAZISM. SAY NO TO ENVIRONMENTALISM.
Standing Keynesian GDP on Its Head: Saving
Not Consumption as the Main Source of
Spending
[This article is based on a portion of
Chapter 15 of the author's
Capitalism: A Treatise on Economics.]
According to the prevailing Keynesian
dogma, consumption is the main form of
spending in the economic system, while
saving is mere non-spending and thus a
“leakage” from the spending stream. This
dogma underlies much of government
economic policy in the United States,
including the so-called economic
stimulus package that has just been
enacted. In this article, I prove, to
the contrary, that consumption is not
the main form of spending in the
economic system and that the source of
most spending is, in fact, saving. I
prove my claims by starting with the
very formulations of the expenditure
aggregates presented by the Keynesian
doctrine itself.
Thus, the simplest, core accounting
relationship of Keynesian economics is
that national income, which is
essentially the sum of profits plus
wages, is equal to the sum of
consumption expenditure plus net
investment.
It is only a small step from national
income to gross domestic product (GDP).
Essentially all one does is add business
depreciation allowances to profits on
the left-hand side of the equation and
to net investment on the right-hand
side. This last raises net investment to
what contemporary economics calls gross
investment. The sum of consumption plus
gross investment is held to equal GDP.
In a slightly more complex formulation,
government expenditure is stated as a
third component of expenditure,
alongside of consumption and investment.
In yet a still more complex formulation,
net exports are also included. These
expenditure items, whether two, three,
or four, are understood as paying the
national income or GDP.
For the sake of simplicity, I’ll ignore
net exports, which, rounded off at minus
$1 trillion, represents the smallest of
the four items. By far the largest
single item of expenditure reported is
personal consumption expenditure, which
is currently running at an annual rate
of about $10 trillion. The next largest
item is government expenditure,
currently running at roughly $3
trillion. Gross private domestic
investment is reported as slightly more
than $2 trillion.
These numbers add up to approximately
$15 trillion, which is a rough
approximation of today’s annual rate of
GDP. Business depreciation allowances of
roughly $1 trillion, imply net
investment in the amount of
approximately $1 trillion and a national
income on the order of $14 trillion.
Now government expenditure is itself a
species of consumption expenditure. But
with or without the inclusion of
government expenditure, consumption
spending appears as the overwhelming
source of GDP and national income: $10
trillion out of $15 trillion and $10
trillion out of $14 trillion
respectively. Count government spending
in with private consumption, and the
figures rise to $13 trillion out of $15
trillion and $13 trillion out of $14
trillion.
It is data such as these that lead
commentators routinely to make such
statements as “consumption accounts for
two-thirds of GDP.” The clear
implication of such statements is that
consumption expenditure, private or
private plus government, is what
constitutes the overwhelming bulk of
spending in the economic system and pays
the overwhelming bulk of the incomes of
the economic system.
Nevertheless, this proposition is not in
fact supported by the various formulas
used in aggregate economic accounting.
The formulas are all mathematically
correct. For example, national income
does in fact equal consumption plus net
investment. And it is true that
consumption spending almost always
dwarfs net investment. Indeed, on
occasion, net investment might even be
zero or, still more extreme, a negative
number. Yet in no case is it true in a
modern economic system that consumption
is the main form of spending and pays
most of the incomes. The belief that it
does rests on a radically incomplete,
highly superficial understanding of the
formulas.
Most Spending in the Economic
System Is Concealed Under Net Investment
The truth is that the great bulk of
spending and income payments in the
economic system is concealed under net
investment! Net investment is
analogous to an iceberg, nine-tenths of
whose volume is concealed beneath the
surface. Only in the case of net
investment, what is concealed can easily
be much more than nine-tenths.
Net investment is the difference between
two enormous monetary magnitudes, which
are never radically different from one
another in size and sometimes may even
be approximately equal. Indeed,
occasionally the one that is subtracted
may even be larger than the magnitude it
is subtracted from, which gives rise to
negative net investment.
The monetary magnitude that is
subtracted in the determination of net
investment is the aggregate of all of
the costs that business firms report in
their income statements as subtractions
from their sales revenues in calculating
their profits, namely, depreciation
cost, cost of goods sold, and selling,
general, and administrative expenses.
The monetary magnitude from which the
costs are subtracted has no name in
contemporary economics. I call it
productive expenditure.
Productive expenditure is expenditure
for the purpose of making subsequent
sales. It is the expenditures made by
business firms in buying capital goods
of all descriptions and in paying wages.
Capital goods include machinery,
materials, components, supplies,
lighting, heating, and advertising. In
contrast to productive expenditure,
consumption expenditure is expenditure
not for the purpose of making
subsequent sales, but for any other
purpose. In the terminology of
contemporary economics, consumption
expenditure is described as final
expenditure. Productive expenditure
could be termed intermediate
expenditure. Implicitly or explicitly,
productive expenditure is always made
for the purpose of earning sales
revenues greater than itself, i.e., is
made for the purpose of earning a
profit.
I now must demonstrate just why net
investment is in fact the difference
between productive expenditure and
business costs. My demonstration
consists of two parts. First, a
demonstration that the definition of
national income as the sum of profits
plus wages implies that national income
also equals the sum of consumption and
productive expenditures minus business
costs. Second, a demonstration that the
difference between productive
expenditure and business costs is in
fact net investment.
Let me begin with the proposition that
national income equals the sum of
profits plus wages. This proposition can
be taken as true simply as a matter of
definition. There are profits, there are
wages, and the sum of the respective
aggregates of each across the entire
country is what we call national income.
Restatement of National Income
as Sales Minus Costs Plus Wages
Now a simple but critical step is to
recognize that profits are the
difference between the sales revenues
and the costs of business firms. The
aggregate profit earned in an entire
country in a year is equal to the sum of
the sales revenues of all the business
firms of the country for the year minus
the sum of all of the costs that those
business firms subtract from their
respective sales revenues in calculating
their respective profits.
Stating profits as sales revenues minus
costs allows us to reformulate national
income as the sum of sales revenues
minus costs plus wages.
The next step in my demonstration is
based on the realization that every
dollar of business sales revenues and
every dollar of wages received
represents an identical dollar of
expenditure by those who pay the sales
revenues or wages. Thus the sales
revenues of a steel company, say,
represent expenditures on the part of
such buyers as automobile companies.
Wages received are wages paid by
employers of one description or other.
From this point forward, we must look at
sales revenues and wage incomes from
the perspective of the buyers who pay
them. In paying sales revenues or
wages, the buyers can have only one or
the other of two basic purposes in mind.
They can be paying the sales revenues or
wages for the purpose of themselves
making subsequent sales. Or they can be
paying the sales revenues or wages not
for the purpose of themselves making
subsequent sales.
Sales revenues and wages paid for the
purpose of the buyer himself making
subsequent sales constitute productive
expenditure. Sales revenues and wages
paid not for the purpose of the buyer
himself making subsequent sales
constitute consumption expenditure.
Examples of sales revenues constituted
by productive expenditure are all the
sales revenues paid by one business firm
to another. It is the receipts from the
sale of steel to automobile companies
and of iron ore to steel companies,
receipts from the sale of flour to
baking companies and of wheat to flour
millers. It is receipts from the sale of
all goods purchased by retailers at
wholesale, And, of course, it is
receipts from the sale of all newly
produced machines and equipment
purchased by one business from another.
Examples of sales revenues constituted
by consumption expenditure are the sales
revenues of grocery stores, clothing
stores, movie theaters, restaurants, and
the like. However, even here, some
portion of the sales revenues may be
productive expenditures, as when a
restaurant buys supplies in a
supermarket or a business buys work
clothes for its employees.
Examples of wage payments that are
productive expenditures are all of the
wages paid to the employees of business
firms, from the wages of field hands,
miners, and factory workers, to the
wages of office secretaries, advertising
executives, bank tellers, and sales
clerks—the wages of all workers paid for
the purpose of the employer making
subsequent sales. (All wage payments and
purchases of goods that are necessary to
the existence or functioning of a
business enterprise are to be conceived
of as made for the purpose of making
subsequent sales, for that is the
purpose of the business enterprise
itself.)
Examples of wage payments that are
consumption expenditures are the wages
paid to maids and baby sitters by
housewives, and, among the very rich,
the wages paid to butlers, personal
cooks, and chauffeurs. These wages, of
course, are obviously trivial in
comparison with the wages paid by
productive expenditure. The one
substantial example of wage payments
constituted by consumption expenditure
are the wages of government
employees. Those wages are not paid
for the purpose of the government making
subsequent sales.
Revenue/Expenditure
Subcomponents
What we’ve done at this point is
conceptualize national income in terms
of its revenue/expenditure
subcomponents. We’ve seen that
profits plus wages equals not only sales
revenues minus costs plus wages, but
also, and more precisely, that it equals
the sum of that part of sales revenues
that is constituted by productive
expenditure plus that part of sales
revenues that is constituted by
consumption expenditure, minus costs,
plus that part of wages that is
constituted by productive expenditure
plus that part of wages that is
constituted by consumption expenditure.
The revenue/expenditure subcomponents
are, of course, the two constituent
parts both of sales revenues and of
wages from the perspective of their
respective types of expenditure, i.e.,
productive expenditure or consumption
expenditure.
At this point, the revenue/expenditure
subcomponents are grouped according to
the type of revenue they represent,
i.e., sales revenue or wages. National
income is conceived as representing the
addition of all four revenue
expenditure/subcomponents, with costs
subtracted from the two that are grouped
together as business sales revenues.
What we need to do now is simply regroup
the revenue expenditure subcomponents
according to expenditure type rather
than revenue type. Thus we will add that
part of business sales revenues
constituted by consumption expenditure
to that part of wages paid by
consumption expenditure. When we do
this, we obtain total consumption
expenditure, i.e., the “C” in the
equation “National Income Equals C + I.”
We must also regroup that part of
business sales revenues constituted by
productive expenditure with that part of
wage payments constituted by productive
expenditure. When we do this, we obtain
total productive expenditure, which, as
I’ve said, has no designation in
contemporary economics.
If we now subtract from productive
expenditure the same costs that up to
now we’ve subtracted from business sales
revenues, the result will be net
investment, the “I” in the equation
“National Income Equals C + I.”
Why Net Investment Equals
Productive Expenditure Minus Costs
All that remains to be shown is why
productive expenditure minus costs does
in fact equal net investment. At a
superficial level we already know that
it must if we’ve accepted the
proposition that national income equals
consumption plus net investment in the
first place. This is because we began
with what was unquestionably national
income (the sum of profits plus wages)
and have shown that that sum can
logically be reformulated exactly as
we’ve reformulated it. Thus if it’s true
that national income equals consumption
plus net investment and also true that
it equals consumption plus productive
expenditure minus costs, it follows
inescapably that productive expenditure
minus costs equals net investment.
However, we can do much better than this
and show that the very nature of net
investment implies that it equals
productive expenditure minus costs. All
we need do is break down productive
expenditure and costs into three
exhaustive subcategories respectively.
Thus, we will have that part of
productive expenditure which is
capitalized into plant and equipment
accounts, that part of productive
expenditure which is capitalized into
inventory/work in progress accounts, and
finally that part of productive
expenditure which is not capitalized but
deducted as a cost from sales revenues
immediately.
With respect to costs, we will have that
part of costs which is depreciation
cost, that part of cost, which is cost
of goods sold, and that part of costs
which represents productive expenditure
that is deducted as a cost from sales
revenues immediately. Obviously the
difference between this third component
of cost and the third component of
productive expenditure must always be
zero, since they are necessarily
identical.
At least for some readers, a few words
are necessary about the meaning of
capitalizing productive expenditures and
the relationship of such capitalized
expenditures to costs. When productive
expenditures are made for plant and
equipment, they do not immediately
appear as a cost deducted from sales
revenue. Instead, they are added into a
balance sheet account usually described
as “gross plant and equipment,” or
something very similar. A $1 million
expenditure for new computers, say, is
treated as a $1 million addition to this
account. The computers may be
depreciated over a three year period. In
this case, one-third of a million
dollars will appear as depreciation cost
in the firm’s income statement for each
of three years.
As depreciation cost is incurred in the
firm’s income statement, the same amount
of depreciation is added into another
balance sheet account, known as
“accumulated depreciation reserve,” or
something very similar. Yet a third
balance sheet account appears as the
result of the subtraction of accumulated
depreciation from gross plant. This
account is the “net plant and equipment”
account.
At the beginning of the first year of
the computers’ depreciable life, the
value of the net plant account, as far
as these computers are concerned, is $1
million, representing $1 million of
gross plant minus zero of accumulated
depreciation. At the end of the first
full year of the computers’ depreciable
life, however, the net plant account
will be down to $666,6667, owing to the
subtraction of $333,333 of accumulated
depreciation from the $1 million of
gross plant. At the end of the second
year, the net plant account will be down
to $333,333, owing to the subtraction of
twice as much accumulated depreciation
from the gross plant account. At the end
of the third year of the computers’
depreciable life, the value of the net
plant account, as far as these computers
are concerned, will be zero, because the
accumulated depreciation reserve will
then equal the part of the gross plant
account that represents the purchase
price of the computers.
The essential point here is to recognize
that, other things being equal,
productive expenditure for plant and
equipment represents additions to the
net plant accounts of business, while
depreciation cost represents
subtractions from the net plant accounts
of business. To the extent that in the
economic system as a whole the totality
of such additions exceeds the totality
of such subtractions, there is an
increase in the aggregate value of net
plant and equipment accounts. This
increase is net investment in plant and
equipment.
Of course, it is possible that in a
given year, productive expenditure for
plant and equipment might be less than
the depreciation cost incurred in that
year. In that case, net investment in
plant and equipment would be a negative
number, just as it is a negative number
in the second and third years of our
example concerning the purchase of
computers.
The case of inventory/work in progress
is similar. When expenditures are made
on account of inventory, the sums in
question are added into yet another
balance sheet account, known as
“inventory/work in progress” or
something similar. Thus, for example,
when a furniture retailer purchases
furniture from a furniture manufacturer
and brings that furniture into his
warehouses or showrooms, the purchase
price of that furniture is added into
the retailer’s inventory account. Only
as and when the furniture is sold and
leaves the premises of the retailer,
does a cost item appear in the
retailer’s income statement. It appears
as “cost of goods sold,” which is an
excellent, literal description of it.
Just as purchases on account of
inventory add to the inventory account,
so cost of goods sold represents
subtractions from the inventory account.
A furniture retailer who has purchased,
say, 100 sofas at a price $1,000 per
sofa adds $100,000 to his inventory
account. Each time he sells a sofa, he
subtracts $1,000 from his inventory
account and deducts that $1,000 as a
cost of goods sold in his income
statement. (The same principle applies
to more complex cases, such as General
Motors’ purchases of steel sheet. The
purchase price of the steel sheet is
added to GM’s inventory/work in progress
account and only as the automobiles into
which that steel sheet enters are sold,
does GM incur cost of goods sold and
make an equivalent deduction from its
income statement.)
Here the essential point is to recognize
that, other things being equal,
productive expenditure on account of
inventory/work in progress constitutes
an addition to the balance sheet account
“inventory/work in progress,” while cost
of goods sold constitutes a subtraction
from that account. To the extent that
productive expenditure on account of
inventory et al. exceeds cost of goods
sold, the value of the inventory account
is correspondingly increased and there
is thus net investment in inventory (or
inventory/work in progress). To the
extent that productive expenditure on
account of inventory et al. falls short
of cost of goods sold, the value of the
inventory account is correspondingly
reduced and there is thus negative net
investment in inventory (or
inventory/work in progress).
So, hopefully, it is now clear to every
reader why productive expenditure minus
costs does in fact equal net investment:
net investment in plant and equipment
plus net investment in inventory.
Productive Expenditure Exceeds
Consumption Expenditure
Productive expenditure, the sum of the
expenditures for capital goods and labor
by business firms, almost certainly not
only exceeds consumption expenditure but
does so by a wide margin. The truth of
this proposition can be inferred from
common knowledge about the size of
business profit margins. A profit
margin, of course, is the ratio of
profit to sales revenues.
In the case of supermarkets, profit
margins are often as low as just 2
percent. In instances of highly capital
intensive investments, such as electric
utilities, they may be as high as 20
percent. We will not go far wrong if we
assume that on the average profit
margins are 10 percent.
If profit margins are 10 percent of
sales, it follows that costs are 90
percent of sales and thus that the
productive expenditures that gave rise
to these costs are also 90 percent of
the sales. If we assume that those
productive expenditures on average were
divided between capital goods and labor
in the ratio of 5 to 4, then for every
$1 spent in buying a consumers’ good,
there were 50¢ expended in buying the
capital goods needed to produce it, and
40¢ expended in paying the wages of the
workers needed to produce it.
However, the same story is repeated in
the production of the capital goods that
sold for 50¢ of productive expenditure.
They will have a cost of production of
45¢, broken down into 25¢ of productive
expenditure for earlier capital goods
and 20¢ of productive expenditure for
earlier labor. As we trace the process
further and further, we reach a point at
which the cumulative expenditure for
capital goods itself approaches $1 and
the cumulative expenditure for labor
approaches 80¢ (i.e., 50¢ + 25¢ + 12.5¢
… = $1, and 40¢ + 20¢ + 10¢ … = 80¢).
These expenditures can be taken as
representing not only the productive
expenditures of earlier years but also
as indicating the productive
expenditures of the present year. Some
part of today’s productive expenditures
is devoted to producing consumers’
goods. Another part is devoted to the
production of the capital goods that
will produce consumers’ goods at a later
date. A third part of today’s productive
expenditure is devoted to producing the
capital goods that will serve in the
production of the capital goods that
will serve in the production of
consumers’ goods, and so on.
In any event, what we have in the
present case is $1.80 of productive
expenditure for every $1 of demand for
consumers’ goods. And, for the reasons
explained, such a relationship must be
considered as typifying the economic
system in any given year.
Keynesian Macroeconomics Plays
with Half a Deck: Inadequacy of GDP
What all of the preceding discussion
implies is that Keynesian macroeconomics
is literally playing with half a deck.
It purports to be a study of the
economic system as a whole, yet in
ignoring productive expenditure it
totally ignores most of the actual
spending that takes place in the
production of goods and services. It is
an economics almost exclusively of
consumer spending, not an economics of
total spending in the production of
goods and services.
An accounting aggregate that would be
far more appropriate to a genuine
macroeconomics is what I have called
gross national revenue (GNR). This
is the sum of all business sales
revenues plus wage payments. It also
equals the sum of the consumption and
productive expenditures that actually
pay it.
Imagine an equation in which the sales
revenues and wage incomes that
constitute GNR appear on the left-hand
side, while the consumption and
productive expenditures that actually
pay those sales revenues and wages
appear on the right-hand side. If one
then subtracts the aggregate of the
costs that appear in business income
statements from the left-hand side of
the equation, sales revenues reduce to
profits, and GNR thus reduces to
national income. If one subtracts these
costs from the right-hand side,
productive expenditure reduces to net
investment, and consumption expenditure
plus productive expenditure reduce to
consumption plus net investment.
Now if, instead of subtracting all costs
on both sides, one subtracts all costs
with the exception of depreciation, GNR
reduces to GDP. That is, on the
right-hand side, it will reduce to
consumption expenditure plus what
contemporary economics terms gross
investment (a “gross” investment,
incidentally, one of whose components is
explicitly described as the net
change—the net investment—in
inventories).
Thus, it turns out that GDP falls far
short of a measure of the aggregate
expenditure for goods and services. If
falls short by an amount equal to the
sum of all costs of goods sold in the
economic system plus all of the expensed
productive expenditures in the economic
system. It is these costs which must be
added to GDP to bring it up to a measure
of the actual aggregate amount of
spending for goods and services in the
economic system.
Adding cost of goods sold to
contemporary economics’ “gross
investment” would bring it up to true
gross investment: that is, not only
gross investment in plant and equipment
but also gross investment in inventory
as well. Adding expensed productive
expenditures to this true gross
investment would raise the latter up to
productive expenditure.
Saving as the Source of Most
Spending
My substitution of a radically new
approach to aggregate economic
accounting for that of the Keynesian
approach, has numerous major
implications. One of them pertains to
the role of saving in the economic
system. In Keynesian economics, saving
appears as mere non-spending. This is
because essentially the only spending
that Keynesian economics recognizes is
consumer spending. Thus, if funds are
earned and are saved rather than
consumed, it appears to Keynesians that
they are simply not spent, i.e., are
hoarded. It is on this basis that
Keynesian economics describes saving as
a “leakage.”
Yet the truth is that the only way that
funds expended in the purchase of
consumers’ goods can ever subsequently
show up as productive spending for
capital goods and labor is if and to
the extent that the business recipients
of those funds do not consume
them. Only by saving the funds
in question can they have them available
to make productive expenditures of any
kind. Productive expenditure depends
on saving.
And because productive expenditure is
the main form of spending, most spending
in the economic system depends on
saving. Even consumption expenditure
depends on saving, inasmuch as saving is
the basis of the payment of the wages
out of which most consumption takes
place.
The purchase of expensive consumers’
goods, such as homes, automobiles, major
appliances, vacations, indeed, anything
whose price exceeds more than a
significant fraction of the income
earned in one pay period, can be
purchased only on a foundation of
saving. Virtually no one buys a home out
of current income, not even the income
of an entire year. Likewise, very few
people can buy a new automobile out of a
year’s income, let alone out of the
proceeds of just one pay check. And the
same is true of many other goods. Saving
is essential to the purchase of all such
goods—if not the saving of the purchaser
himself, then the saving of those from
whom the purchaser borrows.
Implications for the “Economic Stimulus
Package”
The dependence of productive expenditure
on saving in turn has major implications
for the so-called economic-stimulus
package that has just been enacted. So
too does the understanding we have
developed of net investment and the role
of cost of goods sold in connection both
with net investment and with profits.
The supporters of the stimulus package
assume that all that is necessary to
increase the demand for goods and
services all up and down the line, that
is, at all stages of production from
retailing to wholesaling, through
manufacturing, to mining and
agriculture, is to increase the demand
for consumers’ goods—essentially by
printing money and giving it to various
consumers to spend. Yet if all that
happened were that people spent the new
and additional money in purchasing
consumers’ goods, there would not be any
additional demand for capital goods and
labor whatever based on that new and
additional money.
To demonstrate this, imagine that,
precisely in accordance with the wishes
of the supporters of the stimulus
package, some consumer somewhere
receives a thousand-dollar tax refund
that is financed by the government’s
creation of new and additional money. He
cashes his refund check and proceeds to
a nearby large shopping mall, where he
buys $1,000 worth of furniture, say.
The owner of the furniture store happens
to be on the premises, and, like a model
Keynesian consumer, with a “marginal
propensity to consume of 2/3,” he
proceeds to withdraw $666.67 from his
till and walks down the hall to a nearby
men’s clothing store, where he spends
that amount for new clothes.
The owner of the clothing store also
happens to be on the premises, and he
too, like another perfect Keynesian
consumer with a marginal propensity to
consume of 2/3, takes $444.44 out of his
till and walks to a third store in the
mall, where he spends that sum in buying
a new television set. The owner of this
store, in turn, removes two-thirds of
his additional receipts and telephones
his wife and in-laws to come and have
dinner at a restaurant in the mall.
If this process kept on going, over and
over again, there would ultimately be
$3,000 of additional consumer spending.
The Keynesians believe that this $3,000
would constitute new and additional net
income and would increase the demand for
labor and employment to that extent back
through all of the stages of production
leading up to the presence of consumers
goods on the shelves of retailers
The spending multiplier and the alleged
benefits to the demand for labor and
thus employment would be even greater,
according to the Keynesians, if the
marginal propensity to consume were
three-fourths instead of two-thirds, and
greater still if it were nine-tenths
instead of three-fourths. The multiplier
and its benefits are allegedly
restrained only by the disappearance of
funds into the “leakage” constituted by
saving.
Now the truth is that in order for
additional consumer spending to
constitute equivalent additional income,
as the Keynesians believe, the only type
of additional income that it could
possibly constitute would be
business profits, specifically the
profits of the sellers of the various
consumers’ goods. It would not
constitute any additional wage income or
the employment of any additional
workers. This is because all that is
present is additional business sales
revenues. The income earned on sales
revenues is profit, and if the
additional income is to equal the
additional sales revenues, it means that
there will be additional profits equal
to the additional sales revenues.
A further implication is that the prices
of the consumers’ goods must rise,
thereby depriving other buyers of
consumers’ goods of the ability to buy
them. This follows from the fact of more
money being spent to buy the same
quantity of goods.
Of course, the Keynesians will be quick
to object that more goods will be sold,
not the same quantity. Sellers will
reduce their inventories to meet the
additional demand. To the extent that
this happens, prices need not
immediately rise. But the reduction in
inventories implies an increase in cost
of goods sold and thus profit income
rising at each point of additional
consumer spending by equivalently less
than the increase in such spending.
Thus, for example, if the seller of the
furniture incurs $500 of additional cost
of goods sold when a purchaser spends
$1,000 in his store, his additional
profit income will be only $500, not
$1,000. His consumption, as a model
Keynesian consumer, will therefore be
only two-thirds of that amount. And
similarly for all other sellers in the
chain of spending and respending. The
alleged “stimulus” will be radically
less than the Keynesians expect and
desire, e.g., not only $333.33 instead
of $666.67 but also $111.11 instead of
$444.44, and so on, with each subsequent
round of spending reflecting not only
the alleged “leakage’ of funds into
saving but the effects on profit income
of having to subtract cost of goods
sold.
If the sellers practiced Keynesianism to
the hilt, they would ignore the little
matter of additional cost of goods sold
and accompanying inventory depletion and
simply consume in proportion to their
additional sales proceeds, as though it
were additional income, as Keynesianism
assumes and teaches. In that case there
would be $3,000 of consumption, and
$1,500 of inventory decumulation.
Such behavior would set the stage not
only for there being no additional
demand for capital goods and labor but
for there being less such
demand than there was before, with the
result of an actual increase in
unemployment.
This is because if at some point the
sellers, wanted to replace the goods
they had sold, they would find that
their ability to do so would be
diminished, because they had consumed
part of their capital. To replace that
capital they would need either to raise
additional capital from outside or to
withdraw capital that they themselves
had been advancing to others. Either way
less capital would be available
somewhere in the economic system and
where less capital is available,
business activity must shrink. The
consequence is more unemployment not
less.
In order for the new and additional
money injected into the economic system
through additional consumption
expenditure to find its way back to
earlier stages of production, the
sellers must not consume their
additional sales proceeds to any great
extent. To the contrary, they need to
save them to the greatest extent
possible. If the furniture store owner
saves and productively spends his $1,000
of additional sales revenues, he will be
able give some “stimulus” to his
suppliers. If they in turn save and
productively expend the great bulk of
their additional sales revenues, they
will be able to give some stimulus to
their suppliers, and so on back. Along
the way, the demand for labor and
employment may increase. But any such
result will depend on additional saving
and productive expenditure, not
consumption expenditure.
The fact that if accompanied at all
stages of production by heavy saving out
of sales revenues, an increase in
consumer spending financed by inflation
can serve to increase the demand for
capital goods and labor at all the
stages is not a sufficient basis for
recommending such a policy. In fact,
what it represents is an effort to
reestablish the same kind of
misdirected, wasteful production that
leads to a recession or depression in
the first place and which then creates
the appearance of a need for stimulus.
It should never be forgotten that our
present problems originated in an
arrangement whereby a very large amount
of production, i.e., the construction of
hundreds of thousands of new houses, was
taking place for the benefit of people
whose own production was grossly
insufficient ever to allow them to pay
for those houses. It is a positive good
thing that that wasteful, inherently
loss-making production has now ceased.
The solution is not to now attempt to
create another such loss-making
arrangement to take its place. Another
arrangement under which producers will
produce goods for the benefit of people
whose own production is insufficient to
enable them to afford the goods in
question—people who will buy the
producers’ output only with “refunds” of
taxes they never even paid. The problems
created by building houses for
“sub-prime” borrowers cannot be
corrected by now producing goods of all
descriptions for “sub-prime” consumers
in general.
A real solution requires making it
possible for production to be directed
to the needs and wants of those whose
own production is sufficient to enable
them to pay for the production of
others.
Summary and Conclusions
I’ve shown that contrary to superficial
appearance, in the most literal sense of
the word “superficial,” consumption
expenditure is not the main form of
spending in the economic system and does
not pay the national income or gross
domestic product. I’ve shown that most
spending in the economic system is in
fact concealed under the head of net
investment. However modest in size,
including possibly being actually
negative, net investment represents the
true source of most revenue and income.
That source is productive
expenditure, which, I showed, is
expenditure for the purpose of making
subsequent sales and is represented by
the spending of business firms for
capital goods of all descriptions and
for labor. (Consumption expenditure, in
contrast, I showed is expenditure not
for the purpose of making subsequent
sales.)
The role of productive expenditure is
concealed because net investment is the
difference between it and business
costs, the same costs that appear in
business income statements in
calculating business profits, and which
do not differ very greatly from
productive expenditure in size. Thus
only a very small portion of the actual
magnitude and importance of productive
expenditure is ever revealed in
conventional, Keynesian national income
accounting.
I demonstrated the presence of
productive expenditure behind net
investment by means of a step-by-step
logical demonstration of the equality
between profits plus wages on the one
side, and consumption plus net
investment on the other. The crux of the
demonstration was the restatement of
profits as sales revenue minus costs,
and then the breakdown both of sales
revenues and wage incomes into
productive expenditure and consumption
expenditure. I called the resultants of
the breakdown “revenue/expenditure
subcomponents” and showed how the
equality of profits plus wages and
consumption plus net investment resulted
simply from changing the order of
addition of those subcomponents, from
one based on revenue and income type to
one based on expenditure type.
I showed on the basis of elementary
business accounting principles why
productive expenditure minus costs is
the sum of net investment in plant and
equipment and net investment in
inventory. I then demonstrated why and
how productive expenditure exceeds
consumption expenditure and does so by a
wide margin.
I presented gross national revenue (GNR)
as the appropriate measure of total
spending that constitutes revenue or
income payments in the economic system.
I showed GNR as equal to sales revenues
plus wages on the left and consumption
expenditure plus productive expenditure
on the right. I showed how by means of
the subtraction of business costs from
sales revenues on the left and
productive expenditure on the right, GNR
reduces to national income on the left
and consumption plus net investment on
right. I showed the deficiencies of GDP
as a measure of total spending in
comparison to GNR.
And finally, I’ve shown the radical
difference between my analysis and the
conventional, Keynesian analysis for
understanding the role of saving as a
source of spending in the economic
system, and have shown its relevance to
the so-called economic stimulus package
that has just been enacted.
Re: A
Creditors' Protection Bill: The Legitimacy
of Inserting a Gold Clause in Existing
Contracts
My
recent article
"A
Creditors' Protection Bill"
has been criticized because of its call
for the insertion of a partial gold
clause into existing contracts, with or
without the consent of debtors. The
criticism is that this would be an
interference with the freedom of
contract.
This claim is made on the grounds that
the parties may have contracted
precisely on the basis of the
government's having arbitrary power over
the purchasing power of the monetary
unit and one of them (the debtor) may
want it to continue. In the words of one
critic, "Lots of people contracted with
the intention of taking advantage of
inflation, and the counter parties are
responsible for evaluating their own
risk. Changing the rules of the game is
cheating someone."
This criticism, which appears to be the
assertion of some sort of divine right
to the continuation of inflation, is
based on a failure to understand what
the actual rules of the game are today.
Superficially, the rule is that
contracts are payable in fixed sums of
dollars, the purchasing power of which
the government steadily depreciates
through the use of its power to increase
the money supply.
More fundamentally, however, the
actual rule of the game today is that
the purchasing power of what is paid and
received in the fulfillment of contracts
is determined by the government.
This wider, more fundamental and
abstract rule of the game remains
unchanged when the government inserts a
gold clause into existing contracts. And
it was this rule which the parties
implicitly accepted when they signed
contracts in a world in which the
government determines the purchasing
power of money.
What the insertion of gold clauses into
existing contracts signifies is the use
of government power to determine the
purchasing power of what is paid and
received in the fulfillment of contracts
in a way that diminishes the further
such use of its power. Henceforth
its power of money creation will not
serve to enrich debtors at the expense
of creditors, or at least not to the
same extent. Creditors will have a
measure of protection from the exercise
of the government's power. The case is
analogous to the government using its
power to enact and maintain a Bill of
Rights.
Furthermore, the fact is that no
creditor has ever entered into a
contract payable in a fixed sum of paper
money in anticipation of the purchasing
power of that money so radically
declining that what he will receive is
likely to be of substantially less
purchasing power than what he lent. If
that were the anticipation, credit
markets would soon cease to exist in
that money.
The existence of credit presupposes
a monetary unit whose future purchasing
power can be more or less be reliably
estimated. When the government
accelerates inflation even to the level
seen in the United States in the 1970s,
credit markets break down, as witness
the virtual disappearance of long-term
fixed rate mortgages in 1979, after a
few rounds or prices rising more rapidly
than could be compensated for by
inflation premiums in interest rates.
The market was beginning to form the
idea that no inflation premium would be
sufficient, because, however high,
inflation could soon be even more rapid.
The implication of this is that once
inflation becomes more than modest, it
necessarily violates creditors' rational
understanding of the terms of the
contracts into which they entered. It
thus represents a defrauding of
creditors and therefore a violation of
their freedom of contract. Stopping that
process is not a violation of the
freedom of contract but an attempt to
uphold it.
I find it the very height of gall for
anyone to believe that his freedom is
any way violated because he is deprived
of such opportunities as being able to
pay the proceeds of a life insurance
policy with less purchasing power than
is required to pay for the postage stamp
needed to mail said proceeds. (This is
an example out of the German inflation
of 1923.) If he borrowed money in this
kind of expectation, then he deserves to
be disappointed. His freedom is
certainly not violated because he his
prevented from fulfilling it. To the
contrary, the freedom of those whose
wealth an unrestrained policy of
inflation would have brought him is
given a measure of protection.
Postscript: It may be
objected that the insertion of any kind
of gold clause into existing contracts
would serve to protect the rights of
creditors only by means of shifting the
violation of rights to debtors, who, in
some cases at least, might be obliged to
suffer unanticipated real and
substantial additional burdens of debt.
This objection falls if it is held in
mind that the proposal I made was for
the introduction only of a partial gold
clause. The example I used, purely for
the sake of illustration, was a 25
percent gold clause that at a price of
gold of $1,000 per ounce would impose a
contingent gold debt of 250 ounces on
the borrower of $1,000,000. Such a gold
clause would not increase the number of
dollars actually owed unless and until
the price of gold reached $4,000 per
ounce. Twenty-five percent may be too
high a percentage. Ten percent might be
a better number. In that case, starting
at $1,000 per ounce, the price of gold
would have to reach $10,000 per ounce
before the number of dollars owed by any
debtor actually increased.
Such an arrangement would give debtors
ample time to join with creditors in
opposing increases in the quantity of
paper money of such magnitude as to
drive the price of gold beyond $10,000
within the life of existing contracts.
It would serve simply to remove debtors
from the category of a vulture-like
pressure group seeking to feast on every
last scrap of meat left on the financial
bones of creditors. Hopefully, it would
gradually serve to make debtors join
with creditors in demanding an end to
inflation, which would then be perceived
as harmful to both groups instead of to
just one.
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